Boise State
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
2  Emma Bates JR 19:10
107  Marisa Howard JR 20:05
391  Lauren Lucas SR 20:47
454  Erin McLaughlin SR 20:53
532  Taryn Treadway SR 21:01
609  Kate Jette SR 21:07
936  Hayley Gregoire JR 21:29
967  Shannon Susbauer FR 21:31
1,321  Shelby McIntyre FR 21:54
National Rank #28 of 340
West Region Rank #7 of 39
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 21.5%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 3.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.7%
Top 10 in Regional 88.2%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Emma Bates Marisa Howard Lauren Lucas Erin McLaughlin Taryn Treadway Kate Jette Hayley Gregoire Shannon Susbauer Shelby McIntyre
Bill Dellinger Invitational 10/05 704 19:36 19:53 20:49 20:50 21:10 21:02 21:18 21:08 21:59
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 671 19:18 20:07 20:43 20:45 20:52 21:09 21:27
Mountain West Championships 11/01 643 19:19 19:47 21:01 20:51 20:35 21:01 21:47 22:27 21:29
West Region Championships 11/15 817 19:04 20:41 20:39 21:12 21:28 21:16 22:07
NCAA Championship 11/23 18:58





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 21.5% 23.8 564 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 2.1 1.8 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1
Region Championship 100% 8.2 250 0.4 1.5 3.9 14.0 20.2 20.8 15.8 11.8 6.7 3.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Bates 100% 6.4 6.7 10.4 9.0 8.3 7.2 6.2 5.5 5.1 3.7 4.1 4.0 3.1 2.5 2.7 2.0 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.3 1.2 1.3 1.2 0.8 0.7 0.8
Marisa Howard 23.9% 79.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lauren Lucas 21.5% 192.6
Erin McLaughlin 21.5% 206.4
Taryn Treadway 21.5% 219.9
Kate Jette 21.5% 228.7
Hayley Gregoire 21.5% 246.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Emma Bates 1.9 30.3 21.5 15.3 10.8 7.1 5.5 3.6 2.5 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Marisa Howard 21.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.5 2.2 3.2 3.6 4.4 4.9 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.0 3.8 4.0 3.5 3.7 3.0 3.7
Lauren Lucas 66.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1
Erin McLaughlin 73.5
Taryn Treadway 83.9
Kate Jette 93.3
Hayley Gregoire 125.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.4% 88.9% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3
4 1.5% 83.8% 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1.2 4
5 3.9% 64.8% 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 1.4 2.5 5
6 14.0% 59.7% 0.1 1.4 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.6 1.0 5.6 8.3 6
7 20.2% 37.4% 0.0 1.0 0.8 1.2 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.5 1.2 12.7 7.6 7
8 20.8% 7.1% 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 19.3 1.5 8
9 15.8% 0.3% 0.0 0.0 15.7 0.0 9
10 11.8% 11.8 10
11 6.7% 6.7 11
12 3.1% 3.1 12
13 1.2% 1.2 13
14 0.6% 0.6 14
15 0.1% 0.1 15
16 0.0% 0.0 16
17 0.0% 0.0 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
Total 100% 21.5% 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 2.1 2.7 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.8 3.0 78.5 0.0 21.5




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Villanova 95.1% 1.0 1.0
Penn State 54.0% 1.0 0.5
SMU 33.5% 1.0 0.3
Kentucky 30.4% 1.0 0.3
Mississippi 15.0% 1.0 0.1
Baylor 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Toledo 2.9% 1.0 0.0
UTSA 2.6% 1.0 0.0
Lamar 1.2% 1.0 0.0
Lipscomb 0.7% 1.0 0.0
Cal Poly 0.6% 1.0 0.0
Oklahoma State 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Northern Arizona 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Southern Illinois 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Ohio State 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Portland 0.0% 2.0 0.0
Total 2.4
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0